BTC ETH SOL BNB XRP Fear & Greed
AltcoinGordon
Price

Morgan Stanley Sets $600 Price Target for SpaceX Stock Over Next 12 Months

The investment bank points to SpaceX's fast-growing software business as a key driver behind its bullish forecast.

Original AltcoinGordon illustration for: Morgan Stanley Sets $600 Price Target for SpaceX Stock Over Next 12 Months
Original illustration, drawn for this story by AltcoinGordon.

Morgan Stanley has set a 12-month price target of $600 for SpaceX stock, listed under the ticker SPCX, according to reporting from Watcher.Guru and Invezz. The target places SpaceX among a handful of high-profile companies receiving fresh Wall Street price guidance this week, alongside separate analyst updates on Nvidia and Micron.

SpaceX remains privately held and is not listed on a major public exchange in the traditional sense. The SPCX ticker referenced in this coverage appears tied to instruments or platforms that track SpaceX’s private valuation rather than shares traded on the New York Stock Exchange or Nasdaq. That distinction matters for investors weighing how directly any price target reflects the company’s underlying equity.

Morgan Stanley’s bullish stance leans heavily on SpaceX’s expanding software operations, a segment that has drawn less public attention than its rocket launches or Starlink satellite network. A report from Yahoo Finance estimates this software business could approach $33 billion in value, calling it a high-margin unit that the market has largely overlooked. That estimate underscores a broader argument from analysts: SpaceX’s revenue base is diversifying well beyond launch services.

Invezz’s coverage of the Morgan Stanley note frames the case for SpaceX stock around this diversification. Software tied to satellite connectivity, data services, and related infrastructure can carry stronger margins than hardware-heavy launch operations. If that segment scales as projected, it could reshape how investors value the company as a whole, rather than treating it primarily as a space-launch business.

The timing of this target follows a broader pattern of Wall Street firms issuing fresh 12-month outlooks across the technology and industrial sectors. Finbold’s reporting on the same day noted updated targets for Nvidia and Micron, suggesting analysts are actively recalibrating expectations across companies tied to computing, semiconductors, and space infrastructure. SpaceX’s inclusion in that cycle reflects growing investor interest in access to the company, even indirectly, given its private status.

For retail and institutional investors alike, price targets on privately held firms carry a different weight than those on publicly traded stocks. They often depend on secondary-market valuations, private funding rounds, or specialized tracking products rather than daily exchange-traded pricing. Readers should understand that any $600 figure reflects an analyst’s projection tied to whatever instrument or valuation benchmark Morgan Stanley used, not necessarily a price visible on a conventional stock ticker tape.

Sources disagree on this story

This article was published before the reports below were compared. The reporting above stands; what follows is where the published accounts do not agree.

Finbold and Watcher.Guru give opposite readings of SpaceX stock versus its IPO price, while Yahoo Finance and Invezz cite different Fortune 500 penetration figures for Cursor.

What all sources agree on

  • Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas set a $300 12-month price target for SpaceX (SPCX) stock
  • Morgan Stanley outlined a $600 bull case for SPCX tied to Cursor becoming a 'frontier' AI model
  • Morgan Stanley projects Cursor's annualized run rate reaching $8 billion by the end of the year
  • Morgan Stanley projects Cursor's ARR reaching up to $33 billion by 2030
  • SpaceX is acquiring the AI coding platform Cursor

Where the reports disagree

1Whether SPCX stock is trading above or below its IPO price

At its latest closing price of $138.74, SpaceX stock is slightly above the $135 IPO ask, having rallied 18.47% within the last week of trading.

Finbold (2026-08-11)

Compared to its IPO price, the Elon Musk-led space company's stock remains down 11%; however, the latest rally implies that a potential buy-the-dip opportunity appeared last week.

Watcher.Guru

What would settle it: SpaceX's official IPO offering price and a verified closing-price record from the exchange (Nasdaq) for the dates in question

2Percentage of Fortune 500 companies using Cursor

Cursor sits inside 64% of Fortune 500 companies, yet SpaceX's software layer is priced at a fraction of what AI peers command per ARR dollar.

Yahoo Finance

He noted that Cursor's business continues growing, with 60% of all companies in the Fortune 500 using its coding tools.

Invezz

What would settle it: Morgan Stanley's original research note detailing Cursor's Fortune 500 adoption figures

What to make of it

Treat Morgan Stanley's $300 target, $600 bull case, and Cursor's $8B/$33B ARR projections as consistently reported across sources; do not rely on any single figure for SPCX's exact position relative to its IPO price or Cursor's precise Fortune 500 penetration until Morgan Stanley's underlying note or verified exchange data is checked.

Market Impact

A price target from a major bank like Morgan Stanley can influence sentiment around SpaceX exposure, particularly on platforms or funds that offer indirect access to the company's private valuation. Because SpaceX does not trade on a public exchange, the practical effect on liquid markets may be more muted than a similar call on a Nasdaq-listed firm.

Still, the emphasis on SpaceX's software business could shift how investors and other analysts model the company's future revenue mix. If the $33 billion software valuation gains wider acceptance, it may prompt further recalibration of SpaceX's overall worth across private markets, venture funding rounds, and any tracking instruments tied to its shares.

Morgan Stanley's $600 target adds to a broader wave of fresh Wall Street price calls this week, but SpaceX's private status means investors should weigh the figure carefully against how any tracking instrument actually reflects the company's value.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SpaceX publicly traded on a stock exchange?

SpaceX remains a privately held company and is not listed on major exchanges like the NYSE or Nasdaq in the traditional sense. The SPCX ticker referenced in this coverage relates to instruments tracking its private valuation, not conventional public shares.

What is Morgan Stanley's 12-month price target for SpaceX?

According to Watcher.Guru and Invezz, Morgan Stanley set a 12-month price target of $600 for SpaceX stock under the ticker SPCX.

Why is SpaceX's software business important to this valuation?

Yahoo Finance reported that SpaceX's software business could reach $33 billion in value, describing it as a high-margin segment that investors may be underestimating relative to its launch and satellite operations.

Were other companies also given new price targets around the same time?

Yes. Finbold reported separate Wall Street price target updates for Nvidia and Micron on the same day the SpaceX target was reported, reflecting a broader round of analyst recalibrations.